Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.008759 0.010328 0.012219 0.014703 0.017941 0.022105 0.028016
2025-08-17 0.006432 0.008147 0.010444 0.013856 0.019017 0.026947 0.041037
2025-08-24 0.005218 0.006907 0.009320 0.013209 0.019743 0.031243 0.055966
2025-08-31 0.004635 0.006366 0.008984 0.013525 0.021945 0.038948 0.084186
2025-09-07 0.004071 0.005737 0.008360 0.013156 0.022748 0.044387 0.114071
2025-09-14 0.003604 0.005180 0.007738 0.012617 0.022996 0.048762 0.148149
2025-09-21 0.003312 0.004856 0.007444 0.012603 0.024341 0.056839 0.214310
2025-09-28 0.003149 0.004718 0.007443 0.013153 0.027200 0.071735 0.370135
2025-10-05 0.003077 0.004722 0.007690 0.014277 0.032065 0.099156 0.847551
2025-10-12 0.002936 0.004587 0.007653 0.014761 0.035447 0.126171 1.924238
2025-10-19 0.002742 0.004332 0.007345 0.014539 0.036587 0.144693 3.877650
2025-10-26 0.002597 0.004155 0.007169 0.014601 0.038755 0.174109 12.012219
2025-11-02 0.002399 0.003877 0.006782 0.014136 0.039217 0.197256 52.186308
2025-11-09 0.002194 0.003567 0.006297 0.013331 0.038125 0.208059 337.063344
2025-11-16 0.002026 0.003317 0.005911 0.012717 0.037558 0.224335 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001945 0.003226 0.005858 0.013017 0.041078 0.299821 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001827 0.003052 0.005598 0.012667 0.041522 0.343274 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001710 0.002870 0.005304 0.012155 0.040959 0.372509 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001636 0.002768 0.005180 0.012142 0.042982 0.469065 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001599 0.002740 0.005224 0.012664 0.048403 0.726965 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001592 0.002772 0.005414 0.013730 0.058436 1.513874 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001552 0.002733 0.005424 0.014189 0.065271 2.780447 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001485 0.002628 0.005260 0.013978 0.066999 3.904860 NaN